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October 8th, 2004

Technology Curve, Part 2

Regarding our simplified version of Moore’s Law (see prior post), in the mid-90′s I built a spreadsheet to see what had actually happened. At that point we had about 15 years of technology investing behind us which I charted out. The result was that there was about a 1.8x price performance improvement every year. This was not a measurement of raw compute speed per dollar, but rather the average cost of what we were spending to support an animator – so it was really an amalgam of compute power, memory costs and storage costs, and a very realistic indicator of what we could expect to be spending.

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